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Boeing
projects that air cargo operators will need more than 2,600 new or converted
freighters over the next two decades to keep up with increasing global freight
traffic, which is expected to double with 4.2% growth annually.
Some of the
factors driving the growth in air cargo include a growing express market in
China and the global rise of e-commerce, which is forecast to increase 20%
annually to nearly $5trn in 2021 according to Boeing's analysis.
The 1,670
passenger to freighter converted aircraft and 980 medium and large production
line freighters will go towards replacing older airplanes and growing the
global fleet to meet demand, according to the new World Air Cargo Forecast,
released by Boeing at TIACA's Air Cargo Forum and Exhibition.
Darren Hulst,
managing director of market analysis and sales support at Boeing Commercial
Airplanes, said: "The air cargo market continues to be a major element of
commercial aviation's growth story.
"Our new
forecast indicates strong long-term air cargo trends, which coincide with the
market recovery that we have seen over the last few years across Europe, North
America, and Asia."
To meet
growing market needs, Boeing also forecasts:
The world
freighter fleet will expand by more than 70%, from the current total of 1,870
to 3,260 airplanes.
Boeing
projects new production freighter deliveries valued at $280bn.
Demand for
regional express services in fast-developing economies will boost the
standard-body share of the freighter fleet from 37%today to 39%.
1,170
standard body and 500 medium wide-body passenger airplanes will be converted
into freighters over the next two decades.
Dedicated
freighters, which provide unique capability that passenger belly-cargo cannot
match, will continue to carry more than 50% of the world's air cargo demand.
The majority will be in the large widebody freighter category, such as the
B747-8 freighter and B777 freighters.
"With
90% share of the freighter market, Boeing is well positioned to capture this
growth," said Hulst, adding: "We have invested in our freighter
family to help express cargo and general freight operators carry out their
missions around the world.
"Whether
it's our B777 Freighter or our B737-800BCF program, Boeing offers the most
capable family of freighters with the best combination of payload, range and
fuel efficiency."
Since January
2017, Boeing has sold 128 freighters, including 80 production and 48 converted
freighters.